Monsoon-driven cloud cover and potential scattered showers are the dominant factors moderating Karachi's peak temperatures on August 2, keeping trader-implied odds highest for a maximum near 32–33°C. August climatology shows average daily highs of 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and high humidity from the Arabian Sea further limiting daytime heating compared to inland areas. Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal mean temperatures for the July–September period, yet recent weekly guidance and model consensus point to near- or below-normal maxima amid active monsoon conditions. Official forecasts for early August place highs around 30–32°C with patchy rain possible, aligning with the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C或以上
5%
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon-driven cloud cover and potential scattered showers are the dominant factors moderating Karachi's peak temperatures on August 2, keeping trader-implied odds highest for a maximum near 32–33°C. August climatology shows average daily highs of 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and high humidity from the Arabian Sea further limiting daytime heating compared to inland areas. Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal mean temperatures for the July–September period, yet recent weekly guidance and model consensus point to near- or below-normal maxima amid active monsoon conditions. Official forecasts for early August place highs around 30–32°C with patchy rain possible, aligning with the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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