Recent observational data from official monitoring stations, including Chicago Midway International Airport, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 80–81°F on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This result reflects typical late-July climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 84°F but can moderate under variable atmospheric conditions such as increased cloud cover or onshore flow. With the date now concluded and measurements finalized, trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of verified records. Only an unprecedented revision to the official National Weather Service dataset or use of an alternate station could alter resolution, both highly improbable given established reporting protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥7月31日的最高溫度？
芝加哥7月31日的最高溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
77°F或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$75,605 交易量
$75,605 交易量
2026-07-31
77°F或以下
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96°F或更高
否
80-81°F 100.0%
77°F或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$75,605 交易量
$75,605 交易量
2026-07-31
77°F或以下
$15,799 交易量
否
78-79°F
$7,777 交易量
否
80-81°F
$11,808 交易量
是
82-83°F
$10,309 交易量
否
84-85°F
$5,618 交易量
否
86-87°F
$12,916 交易量
否
88-89°F
$6,001 交易量
否
90-91°F
$3,119 交易量
否
92-93°F
$606 交易量
否
94-95°F
$926 交易量
否
96°F或更高
$726 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from official monitoring stations, including Chicago Midway International Airport, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 80–81°F on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This result reflects typical late-July climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 84°F but can moderate under variable atmospheric conditions such as increased cloud cover or onshore flow. With the date now concluded and measurements finalized, trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of verified records. Only an unprecedented revision to the official National Weather Service dataset or use of an alternate station could alter resolution, both highly improbable given established reporting protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$75,605結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from official monitoring stations, including Chicago Midway International Airport, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 80–81°F on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This result reflects typical late-July climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 84°F but can moderate under variable atmospheric conditions such as increased cloud cover or onshore flow. With the date now concluded and measurements finalized, trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of verified records. Only an unprecedented revision to the official National Weather Service dataset or use of an alternate station could alter resolution, both highly improbable given established reporting protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75,605結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from official monitoring stations, including Chicago Midway International Airport, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 80–81°F on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This result reflects typical late-July climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 84°F but can moderate under variable atmospheric conditions such as increased cloud cover or onshore flow. With the date now concluded and measurements finalized, trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of verified records. Only an unprecedented revision to the official National Weather Service dataset or use of an alternate station could alter resolution, both highly improbable given established reporting protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions