Trader consensus at 100% for an 11°C high in Wellington on August 1 stems from official meteorological data confirming this exact maximum under stable winter conditions typical for New Zealand’s capital in the Southern Hemisphere. Monitoring agencies record daytime peaks at this level amid southerly flows, clear skies, and minimal solar heating near the winter solstice, aligning closely with long-term climatological baselines for early August. Model runs show little potential for deviation once the observation window closes. Rare challenges could arise from late unforecasted warming via northerly advection, station-specific microclimate effects, or post-event data revisions, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月1日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$155,628 交易量
$155,628 交易量
2026-08-01
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$155,628 交易量
$155,628 交易量
2026-08-01
5°C or below
$366 交易量
No
6°C
$639 交易量
No
7°C
$3,954 交易量
No
8°C
$18,307 交易量
No
9°C
$32,535 交易量
No
10°C
$45,641 交易量
No
11°C
$25,227 交易量
Yes
12°C
$11,491 交易量
No
13°C
$6,508 交易量
No
14°C
$8,562 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$2,399 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for an 11°C high in Wellington on August 1 stems from official meteorological data confirming this exact maximum under stable winter conditions typical for New Zealand’s capital in the Southern Hemisphere. Monitoring agencies record daytime peaks at this level amid southerly flows, clear skies, and minimal solar heating near the winter solstice, aligning closely with long-term climatological baselines for early August. Model runs show little potential for deviation once the observation window closes. Rare challenges could arise from late unforecasted warming via northerly advection, station-specific microclimate effects, or post-event data revisions, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$155,628結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for an 11°C high in Wellington on August 1 stems from official meteorological data confirming this exact maximum under stable winter conditions typical for New Zealand’s capital in the Southern Hemisphere. Monitoring agencies record daytime peaks at this level amid southerly flows, clear skies, and minimal solar heating near the winter solstice, aligning closely with long-term climatological baselines for early August. Model runs show little potential for deviation once the observation window closes. Rare challenges could arise from late unforecasted warming via northerly advection, station-specific microclimate effects, or post-event data revisions, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$155,628結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 100% for an 11°C high in Wellington on August 1 stems from official meteorological data confirming this exact maximum under stable winter conditions typical for New Zealand’s capital in the Southern Hemisphere. Monitoring agencies record daytime peaks at this level amid southerly flows, clear skies, and minimal solar heating near the winter solstice, aligning closely with long-term climatological baselines for early August. Model runs show little potential for deviation once the observation window closes. Rare challenges could arise from late unforecasted warming via northerly advection, station-specific microclimate effects, or post-event data revisions, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions