Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and scattered thunderstorms on August 2, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. In this subtropical monsoon setting, high humidity and reduced solar insolation from convective activity typically cap daily highs several degrees below the 30–32 °C August average. Model consensus favors surface maxima in the 27–29 °C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C. Any shift in steering flow or timing of rain bands could alter peak readings, with traders watching the next official guidance from local meteorological services for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日深圳最高溫度？
8月2日深圳最高溫度？
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
29°C 19%
30°C 11%
最新
$25,488 交易量
最新
$25,488 交易量
2026-08-02
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
31%
28°C
29%
29°C
19%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
29°C 19%
30°C 11%
最新
$25,488 交易量
最新
$25,488 交易量
2026-08-02
23℃或以下
$965 交易量
<1%
24°C
$497 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,787 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,721 交易量
8%
27°C
$1,095 交易量
31%
28°C
$2,913 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,176 交易量
19%
30°C
$1,077 交易量
11%
31°C
$1,842 交易量
7%
32°C
$2,235 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$10,181 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and scattered thunderstorms on August 2, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. In this subtropical monsoon setting, high humidity and reduced solar insolation from convective activity typically cap daily highs several degrees below the 30–32 °C August average. Model consensus favors surface maxima in the 27–29 °C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C. Any shift in steering flow or timing of rain bands could alter peak readings, with traders watching the next official guidance from local meteorological services for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$25,488結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and scattered thunderstorms on August 2, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. In this subtropical monsoon setting, high humidity and reduced solar insolation from convective activity typically cap daily highs several degrees below the 30–32 °C August average. Model consensus favors surface maxima in the 27–29 °C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C. Any shift in steering flow or timing of rain bands could alter peak readings, with traders watching the next official guidance from local meteorological services for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,488結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and scattered thunderstorms on August 2, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. In this subtropical monsoon setting, high humidity and reduced solar insolation from convective activity typically cap daily highs several degrees below the 30–32 °C August average. Model consensus favors surface maxima in the 27–29 °C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C. Any shift in steering flow or timing of rain bands could alter peak readings, with traders watching the next official guidance from local meteorological services for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions