Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月2日休斯敦的最高溫度？
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 32%
100-101華氏度 17%
94-95°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
華氏91度或以下
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
41%
100-101華氏度
17%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 32%
100-101華氏度 17%
94-95°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
華氏91度或以下
$227 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$333 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$1,490 交易量
10%
96-97°F
$958 交易量
32%
98-99°F
$939 交易量
41%
100-101華氏度
$383 交易量
17%
102-103°F
$306 交易量
4%
104-105°F
$311 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$56 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$133 交易量
1%
華氏110度或更高
$224 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,359結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,359結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions