National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 1 under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and peak summer humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This consensus, reinforced by a persistent heat dome and minimal frontal influence, positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader while the close 96–97°F probability reflects model spread on afternoon convective timing and exact readings at the official Hobby Airport station. Historical August climatology, with typical highs around 95°F, further anchors expectations, though subtle steering variations or isolated storms could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief push toward 100–101°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月1日休斯敦的最高溫度？
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
最新
$16,179 交易量
最新
$16,179 交易量
2026-08-01
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
最新
$16,179 交易量
最新
$16,179 交易量
2026-08-01
89°F或以下
$257 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$282 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$914 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$2,977 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$4,451 交易量
35%
98-99°F
$4,172 交易量
53%
100-101°F
$1,481 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$621 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$483 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$267 交易量
<1%
華氏108度或更高
$275 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 1 under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and peak summer humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This consensus, reinforced by a persistent heat dome and minimal frontal influence, positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader while the close 96–97°F probability reflects model spread on afternoon convective timing and exact readings at the official Hobby Airport station. Historical August climatology, with typical highs around 95°F, further anchors expectations, though subtle steering variations or isolated storms could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief push toward 100–101°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$16,179結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 1 under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and peak summer humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This consensus, reinforced by a persistent heat dome and minimal frontal influence, positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader while the close 96–97°F probability reflects model spread on afternoon convective timing and exact readings at the official Hobby Airport station. Historical August climatology, with typical highs around 95°F, further anchors expectations, though subtle steering variations or isolated storms could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief push toward 100–101°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,179結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 1 under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and peak summer humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This consensus, reinforced by a persistent heat dome and minimal frontal influence, positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader while the close 96–97°F probability reflects model spread on afternoon convective timing and exact readings at the official Hobby Airport station. Historical August climatology, with typical highs around 95°F, further anchors expectations, though subtle steering variations or isolated storms could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief push toward 100–101°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions