Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s August 3 maximum will most likely reach 25–27°C under typical early-August circulation patterns, with weak high pressure and moderate southwesterly flow limiting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than extremes, as even small variations in incoming solar radiation or local urban heat effects can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early August averages near 23–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies without signals of a heatwave or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月3日莫斯科最高溫度？
25°C 33%
26°C 29%
27°C 22%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
21°C或以下
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
33%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C或以上
2%
25°C 33%
26°C 29%
27°C 22%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
21°C或以下
$10 交易量
5%
22°C
$21 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$11 交易量
14%
25°C
$10 交易量
33%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$46 交易量
5%
29°C
$31 交易量
3%
30°C
$20 交易量
5%
31°C或以上
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s August 3 maximum will most likely reach 25–27°C under typical early-August circulation patterns, with weak high pressure and moderate southwesterly flow limiting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than extremes, as even small variations in incoming solar radiation or local urban heat effects can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early August averages near 23–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies without signals of a heatwave or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s August 3 maximum will most likely reach 25–27°C under typical early-August circulation patterns, with weak high pressure and moderate southwesterly flow limiting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than extremes, as even small variations in incoming solar radiation or local urban heat effects can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early August averages near 23–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies without signals of a heatwave or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s August 3 maximum will most likely reach 25–27°C under typical early-August circulation patterns, with weak high pressure and moderate southwesterly flow limiting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values rather than extremes, as even small variations in incoming solar radiation or local urban heat effects can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early August averages near 23–24°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies without signals of a heatwave or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions