Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies show Moscow's August 2 high temperature centering near 30–31°C, driven by warm air advection under a building high-pressure ridge and predominantly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (47%) and 31°C (20.5%), while the 29°C share (22.5%) reflects residual model spread in peak timing or minor cloud cover. Current surface observations and short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and ECMWF equivalents confirm daytime maxima building from today's near-28°C baseline, with limited precipitation risk keeping extremes above 32°C or below 29°C improbable absent rapid pattern shifts. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日莫斯科最高溫度?
30°C 47%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
47%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
2%
30°C 47%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
47%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies show Moscow's August 2 high temperature centering near 30–31°C, driven by warm air advection under a building high-pressure ridge and predominantly sunny conditions with light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 30°C (47%) and 31°C (20.5%), while the 29°C share (22.5%) reflects residual model spread in peak timing or minor cloud cover. Current surface observations and short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and ECMWF equivalents confirm daytime maxima building from today's near-28°C baseline, with limited precipitation risk keeping extremes above 32°C or below 29°C improbable absent rapid pattern shifts. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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