Tokyo's August climatology sets overnight lows near 24°C, reinforced by Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing early-month minimums at or slightly above the 23.9°C daily normal amid above-average seasonal warmth. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area limit radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading anchored around this threshold. Recent model runs and short-range forecasts align with these values rather than cooler outliers, while the absence of typhoon influences or strong cold-air advection reduces downside risk. Real-time JMA observations through the night will confirm resolution, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C based on this stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日東京最低溫度？
8月3日東京最低溫度？
24°C 88%
23°C 17%
22°C 3%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
31%
24°C
88%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 88%
23°C 17%
22°C 3%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
19°C或以下
$319 交易量
<1%
20°C
$476 交易量
<1%
21°C
$256 交易量
<1%
22°C
$559 交易量
3%
23°C
$979 交易量
31%
24°C
$1,168 交易量
88%
25°C
$2,069 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,429 交易量
<1%
27°C
$430 交易量
<1%
28°C
$428 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$504 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August climatology sets overnight lows near 24°C, reinforced by Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing early-month minimums at or slightly above the 23.9°C daily normal amid above-average seasonal warmth. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area limit radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading anchored around this threshold. Recent model runs and short-range forecasts align with these values rather than cooler outliers, while the absence of typhoon influences or strong cold-air advection reduces downside risk. Real-time JMA observations through the night will confirm resolution, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C based on this stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,618結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August climatology sets overnight lows near 24°C, reinforced by Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing early-month minimums at or slightly above the 23.9°C daily normal amid above-average seasonal warmth. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area limit radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading anchored around this threshold. Recent model runs and short-range forecasts align with these values rather than cooler outliers, while the absence of typhoon influences or strong cold-air advection reduces downside risk. Real-time JMA observations through the night will confirm resolution, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C based on this stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,618結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTokyo's August climatology sets overnight lows near 24°C, reinforced by Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing early-month minimums at or slightly above the 23.9°C daily normal amid above-average seasonal warmth. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area limit radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading anchored around this threshold. Recent model runs and short-range forecasts align with these values rather than cooler outliers, while the absence of typhoon influences or strong cold-air advection reduces downside risk. Real-time JMA observations through the night will confirm resolution, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C based on this stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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