Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
25°C 42%
24°C 22%
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
21%
24°C
22%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 22%
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
21%
24°C
22%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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