Shanghai's August 5 minimum temperature is locked at 27°C in trader consensus due to persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance, with official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C amid typical urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity. Recent observations confirm daily minima in this narrow range, consistent with climatological August baselines of 26–29°C and no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to drive radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited divergence, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. A rapid shift from an unforecasted typhoon remnant or localized thunderstorm could theoretically alter readings, though current steering patterns and stability make such changes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日上海最低溫度？
8月5日上海最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,110 交易量
$37,110 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,110 交易量
$37,110 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
$1,016 交易量
否
23°C
$1,672 交易量
否
24°C
$4,299 交易量
否
25°C
$3,701 交易量
否
26°C
$2,196 交易量
否
27°C
$5,637 交易量
是
28°C
$3,587 交易量
否
29°C
$9,256 交易量
否
30°C
$2,871 交易量
否
31°C
$522 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$2,353 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's August 5 minimum temperature is locked at 27°C in trader consensus due to persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance, with official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C amid typical urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity. Recent observations confirm daily minima in this narrow range, consistent with climatological August baselines of 26–29°C and no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to drive radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited divergence, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. A rapid shift from an unforecasted typhoon remnant or localized thunderstorm could theoretically alter readings, though current steering patterns and stability make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$37,110結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's August 5 minimum temperature is locked at 27°C in trader consensus due to persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance, with official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C amid typical urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity. Recent observations confirm daily minima in this narrow range, consistent with climatological August baselines of 26–29°C and no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to drive radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited divergence, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. A rapid shift from an unforecasted typhoon remnant or localized thunderstorm could theoretically alter readings, though current steering patterns and stability make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,110結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Shanghai's August 5 minimum temperature is locked at 27°C in trader consensus due to persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance, with official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C amid typical urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity. Recent observations confirm daily minima in this narrow range, consistent with climatological August baselines of 26–29°C and no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to drive radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited divergence, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. A rapid shift from an unforecasted typhoon remnant or localized thunderstorm could theoretically alter readings, though current steering patterns and stability make such changes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions