Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日深圳最高溫度？
8月19日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
28°C
$603 交易量
<1%
29°C
$75 交易量
1%
30°C
$24 交易量
5%
31°C
$183 交易量
8%
32°C
$1,530 交易量
23%
33°C
$468 交易量
32%
34°C
$233 交易量
24%
35°C
$523 交易量
8%
36°C
$109 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$93 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,032結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,032結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions