Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a maximum temperature in Munich of 21–24°C on August 18, driven by a shift toward increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer, sunnier conditions earlier in the month, with ensemble forecasts reflecting modest uncertainty in frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture over southern Germany. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, while factors such as westerly flow, low-level stability, and precipitation probability create the tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月18日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
22°C 31%
21°C 30%
23°C 17%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
14%
21°C
30%
22°C
31%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 31%
21°C 30%
23°C 17%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C or below
$304 交易量
<1%
16°C
$121 交易量
<1%
17°C
$28 交易量
<1%
18°C
$13 交易量
1%
19°C
$26 交易量
7%
20°C
$90 交易量
14%
21°C
$87 交易量
30%
22°C
$66 交易量
31%
23°C
$428 交易量
17%
24°C
$354 交易量
4%
25°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a maximum temperature in Munich of 21–24°C on August 18, driven by a shift toward increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer, sunnier conditions earlier in the month, with ensemble forecasts reflecting modest uncertainty in frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture over southern Germany. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, while factors such as westerly flow, low-level stability, and precipitation probability create the tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,523結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a maximum temperature in Munich of 21–24°C on August 18, driven by a shift toward increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer, sunnier conditions earlier in the month, with ensemble forecasts reflecting modest uncertainty in frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture over southern Germany. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, while factors such as westerly flow, low-level stability, and precipitation probability create the tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,523結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a maximum temperature in Munich of 21–24°C on August 18, driven by a shift toward increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer, sunnier conditions earlier in the month, with ensemble forecasts reflecting modest uncertainty in frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture over southern Germany. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, while factors such as westerly flow, low-level stability, and precipitation probability create the tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions