Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 18 in Moscow, explaining the near-even 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities on those outcomes. A cooling trend after warmer conditions on the 17th, combined with possible cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers, limits daytime heating while preventing deeper drops. Historical August averages near 22°C and typical diurnal ranges provide context, but short-term variability in advection and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight spread between 21°C and 24°C bins. Updated runs from national services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
24°C 14%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
24°C 14%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
18°C or below
$50 交易量
<1%
19°C
$283 交易量
2%
20°C
$66 交易量
6%
21°C
$140 交易量
12%
22°C
$90 交易量
34%
23°C
$131 交易量
34%
24°C
$226 交易量
14%
25°C
$142 交易量
3%
26°C
$117 交易量
1%
27°C
$364 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$136 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 18 in Moscow, explaining the near-even 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities on those outcomes. A cooling trend after warmer conditions on the 17th, combined with possible cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers, limits daytime heating while preventing deeper drops. Historical August averages near 22°C and typical diurnal ranges provide context, but short-term variability in advection and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight spread between 21°C and 24°C bins. Updated runs from national services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,745結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 18 in Moscow, explaining the near-even 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities on those outcomes. A cooling trend after warmer conditions on the 17th, combined with possible cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers, limits daytime heating while preventing deeper drops. Historical August averages near 22°C and typical diurnal ranges provide context, but short-term variability in advection and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight spread between 21°C and 24°C bins. Updated runs from national services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,745結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 18 in Moscow, explaining the near-even 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities on those outcomes. A cooling trend after warmer conditions on the 17th, combined with possible cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers, limits daytime heating while preventing deeper drops. Historical August averages near 22°C and typical diurnal ranges provide context, but short-term variability in advection and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight spread between 21°C and 24°C bins. Updated runs from national services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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