Recent short-range ensemble guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converges on a Moscow high near 24°C for August 17, supported by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread confines most solutions to 23–26°C amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture levels that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official maximum temperature measurements, typically reported from central Moscow stations, will determine resolution as the 24-hour period concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月17日莫斯科最高溫度？
24°C 46%
23°C 28%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
28%
24°C
46%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 28%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C or below
$131 交易量
<1%
20°C
$184 交易量
2%
21°C
$159 交易量
3%
22°C
$367 交易量
6%
23°C
$568 交易量
28%
24°C
$386 交易量
46%
25°C
$1,119 交易量
14%
26°C
$254 交易量
4%
27°C
$203 交易量
2%
28°C
$250 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$207 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converges on a Moscow high near 24°C for August 17, supported by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread confines most solutions to 23–26°C amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture levels that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official maximum temperature measurements, typically reported from central Moscow stations, will determine resolution as the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$3,827結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converges on a Moscow high near 24°C for August 17, supported by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread confines most solutions to 23–26°C amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture levels that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official maximum temperature measurements, typically reported from central Moscow stations, will determine resolution as the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,827結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converges on a Moscow high near 24°C for August 17, supported by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread confines most solutions to 23–26°C amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture levels that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official maximum temperature measurements, typically reported from central Moscow stations, will determine resolution as the 24-hour period concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions