Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum around 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 16, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps moisture, moderating peaks compared to drier inland areas, while scattered showers or overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with historical August averages near 31°C and occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens. Traders weigh these model outputs against resolution criteria for the official daily high, noting that updated runs closer to the date could shift probabilities within the tightly bunched 30–34°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日成都最高溫度？
8月16日成都最高溫度？
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
10%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
25°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
26°C
$320 交易量
1%
27°C
$462 交易量
2%
28°C
$225 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$43 交易量
20%
32°C
$40 交易量
21%
33°C
$20 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
14%
35°C or higher
$231 交易量
10%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum around 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 16, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps moisture, moderating peaks compared to drier inland areas, while scattered showers or overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with historical August averages near 31°C and occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens. Traders weigh these model outputs against resolution criteria for the official daily high, noting that updated runs closer to the date could shift probabilities within the tightly bunched 30–34°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,352結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum around 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 16, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps moisture, moderating peaks compared to drier inland areas, while scattered showers or overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with historical August averages near 31°C and occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens. Traders weigh these model outputs against resolution criteria for the official daily high, noting that updated runs closer to the date could shift probabilities within the tightly bunched 30–34°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,352結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum around 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 16, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps moisture, moderating peaks compared to drier inland areas, while scattered showers or overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with historical August averages near 31°C and occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens. Traders weigh these model outputs against resolution criteria for the official daily high, noting that updated runs closer to the date could shift probabilities within the tightly bunched 30–34°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions