Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 16 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, driven by persistent North Pacific High influence bringing warm, humid air alongside increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of precipitation that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with historical late-August baselines near 29°C while current steering patterns and regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Model consensus remains tight but can shift with updated runs expected within 24 hours; traders weigh variables like wind direction and humidity levels that determine whether maxima reach the upper or lower end of the clustered probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日釜山的最高溫度?
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
5%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 16 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, driven by persistent North Pacific High influence bringing warm, humid air alongside increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of precipitation that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with historical late-August baselines near 29°C while current steering patterns and regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Model consensus remains tight but can shift with updated runs expected within 24 hours; traders weigh variables like wind direction and humidity levels that determine whether maxima reach the upper or lower end of the clustered probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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