Persistent high pressure from the North Pacific subtropical high, combined with light northeasterly flow and high humidity, supports afternoon maxima of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Recent short-range KMA forecasts explicitly project a 32 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with a 30 % chance of isolated showers, which could limit insolation and cap readings near 30 °C if convection develops earlier. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 29–31 °C averages while the absence of stronger steering currents or frontal passages keeps upside potential modest, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C (46 %) and 32 °C (31.5 %). Updated model runs and any late-day convective trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日釜山的最高溫度？
8月15日釜山的最高溫度？
31°C 47%
32°C 31%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
31%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 31%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C or below
$309 交易量
<1%
26°C
$173 交易量
<1%
27°C
$955 交易量
<1%
28°C
$550 交易量
2%
29°C
$572 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,041 交易量
17%
31°C
$1,385 交易量
47%
32°C
$1,197 交易量
31%
33°C
$831 交易量
6%
34°C
$295 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure from the North Pacific subtropical high, combined with light northeasterly flow and high humidity, supports afternoon maxima of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Recent short-range KMA forecasts explicitly project a 32 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with a 30 % chance of isolated showers, which could limit insolation and cap readings near 30 °C if convection develops earlier. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 29–31 °C averages while the absence of stronger steering currents or frontal passages keeps upside potential modest, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C (46 %) and 32 °C (31.5 %). Updated model runs and any late-day convective trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,671結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure from the North Pacific subtropical high, combined with light northeasterly flow and high humidity, supports afternoon maxima of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Recent short-range KMA forecasts explicitly project a 32 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with a 30 % chance of isolated showers, which could limit insolation and cap readings near 30 °C if convection develops earlier. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 29–31 °C averages while the absence of stronger steering currents or frontal passages keeps upside potential modest, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C (46 %) and 32 °C (31.5 %). Updated model runs and any late-day convective trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,671結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent high pressure from the North Pacific subtropical high, combined with light northeasterly flow and high humidity, supports afternoon maxima of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Recent short-range KMA forecasts explicitly project a 32 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with a 30 % chance of isolated showers, which could limit insolation and cap readings near 30 °C if convection develops earlier. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 29–31 °C averages while the absence of stronger steering currents or frontal passages keeps upside potential modest, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C (46 %) and 32 °C (31.5 %). Updated model runs and any late-day convective trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions