Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 10%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C或以上
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 10%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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