Recent meteorological forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum near 21–23°C in Helsinki on August 15, 2026, driven by widespread overcast skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit surface heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes, as cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow prevent the stronger warming typical of clearer conditions. Model uncertainty around exact peak temperatures amid typical late-summer cooling—where averages decline from mid-month highs near 21°C toward 17–19°C by month’s end—explains the tight spread and modest probabilities for 24°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the event will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
8月15日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
23°C 39%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
19%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
17°C或以下
$2,864 交易量
<1%
18°C
$963 交易量
<1%
19°C
$288 交易量
1%
20°C
$665 交易量
3%
21°C
$814 交易量
9%
22°C
$881 交易量
28%
23°C
$591 交易量
39%
24°C
$317 交易量
19%
25°C
$841 交易量
7%
26°C
$129 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$251 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum near 21–23°C in Helsinki on August 15, 2026, driven by widespread overcast skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit surface heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes, as cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow prevent the stronger warming typical of clearer conditions. Model uncertainty around exact peak temperatures amid typical late-summer cooling—where averages decline from mid-month highs near 21°C toward 17–19°C by month’s end—explains the tight spread and modest probabilities for 24°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the event will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,605結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum near 21–23°C in Helsinki on August 15, 2026, driven by widespread overcast skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit surface heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes, as cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow prevent the stronger warming typical of clearer conditions. Model uncertainty around exact peak temperatures amid typical late-summer cooling—where averages decline from mid-month highs near 21°C toward 17–19°C by month’s end—explains the tight spread and modest probabilities for 24°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the event will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,605結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum near 21–23°C in Helsinki on August 15, 2026, driven by widespread overcast skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit surface heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes, as cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow prevent the stronger warming typical of clearer conditions. Model uncertainty around exact peak temperatures amid typical late-summer cooling—where averages decline from mid-month highs near 21°C toward 17–19°C by month’s end—explains the tight spread and modest probabilities for 24°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the event will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions