Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日廣州最高溫度？
8月16日廣州最高溫度？
37°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,065 交易量
$37,065 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
37°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,065 交易量
$37,065 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C或以下
$367 交易量
否
30°C
$293 交易量
否
31°C
$431 交易量
否
32°C
$1,345 交易量
否
33°C
$1,150 交易量
否
34°C
$2,744 交易量
否
35°C
$5,095 交易量
否
36°C
$6,530 交易量
否
37°C
$7,731 交易量
是
38°C
$7,588 交易量
否
39°C或更高
$3,791 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,065結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,065結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions