Latest meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the market leader for Paris's maximum temperature on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling and overcast conditions expected to cap afternoon readings near 29°C (84°F). A significant warm spell peaked mid-week with highs reaching 33–38°C, but Météo-France guidance and ensemble models show a moderating Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover limiting further intensification. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, making the current setup consistent with typical late-summer variability rather than extremes. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and official bulletins for any shifts in timing or wind patterns that could alter the peak by even 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日巴黎最高溫度?
29°C 60%
28°C 30%
30°C 9%
27°C 6%
$20,726 交易量
$20,726 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
60%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 60%
28°C 30%
30°C 9%
27°C 6%
$20,726 交易量
$20,726 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
60%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the market leader for Paris's maximum temperature on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling and overcast conditions expected to cap afternoon readings near 29°C (84°F). A significant warm spell peaked mid-week with highs reaching 33–38°C, but Météo-France guidance and ensemble models show a moderating Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover limiting further intensification. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, making the current setup consistent with typical late-summer variability rather than extremes. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and official bulletins for any shifts in timing or wind patterns that could alter the peak by even 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions