Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日臺北氣溫最高？
8月18日臺北氣溫最高？
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,592 交易量
$68,592 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,592 交易量
$68,592 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
$382 交易量
No
29°C
$4,678 交易量
No
30°C
$3,633 交易量
No
31°C
$7,799 交易量
No
32°C
$7,176 交易量
No
33°C
$10,107 交易量
No
34°C
$9,047 交易量
Yes
35°C
$6,389 交易量
No
36°C
$7,141 交易量
No
37°C
$4,472 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$7,768 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$68,592結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68,592結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions