Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston indicates a shift toward increased cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on September 1, with 60-70% rain chances in the afternoon that are expected to cap daytime heating compared to the upper-90s readings of late August. This convective regime, driven by typical late-summer moisture and sea-breeze interactions, favors a highest temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than continued extreme heat. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for early September, when average highs reach about 91-92°F, underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to the precise timing and coverage of storms, keeping the 86-91°F range dominant in trader positioning while leaving room for revision with the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月1日休斯敦的最高溫度？
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 20%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
81°F或以下
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 20%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
81°F或以下
$64 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$59 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$107 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$288 交易量
28%
88-89°F
$170 交易量
31%
90-91°F
$244 交易量
20%
92-93°F
$871 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$56 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$144 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$135 交易量
<1%
華氏100度或以上
$239 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston indicates a shift toward increased cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on September 1, with 60-70% rain chances in the afternoon that are expected to cap daytime heating compared to the upper-90s readings of late August. This convective regime, driven by typical late-summer moisture and sea-breeze interactions, favors a highest temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than continued extreme heat. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for early September, when average highs reach about 91-92°F, underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to the precise timing and coverage of storms, keeping the 86-91°F range dominant in trader positioning while leaving room for revision with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,379結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston indicates a shift toward increased cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on September 1, with 60-70% rain chances in the afternoon that are expected to cap daytime heating compared to the upper-90s readings of late August. This convective regime, driven by typical late-summer moisture and sea-breeze interactions, favors a highest temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than continued extreme heat. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for early September, when average highs reach about 91-92°F, underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to the precise timing and coverage of storms, keeping the 86-91°F range dominant in trader positioning while leaving room for revision with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,379結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston indicates a shift toward increased cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on September 1, with 60-70% rain chances in the afternoon that are expected to cap daytime heating compared to the upper-90s readings of late August. This convective regime, driven by typical late-summer moisture and sea-breeze interactions, favors a highest temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than continued extreme heat. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for early September, when average highs reach about 91-92°F, underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to the precise timing and coverage of storms, keeping the 86-91°F range dominant in trader positioning while leaving room for revision with the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions