Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and a 60-99% chance of rain or thunderstorms on August 31, driven by northeasterly winds and an approaching moisture surge that limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 24-26°C at Incheon. This aligns with trader emphasis on 25-26°C outcomes, as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 28°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from typical warming. New model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official Incheon measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月31日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
26°C 31%
25°C 26%
27°C 18%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
26%
26°C
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
4%
26°C 31%
25°C 26%
27°C 18%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
19°C or below
$261 交易量
<1%
20°C
$261 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$14 交易量
4%
24°C
$107 交易量
14%
25°C
$191 交易量
26%
26°C
$42 交易量
31%
27°C
$210 交易量
18%
28°C
$283 交易量
5%
29°C or higher
$97 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and a 60-99% chance of rain or thunderstorms on August 31, driven by northeasterly winds and an approaching moisture surge that limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 24-26°C at Incheon. This aligns with trader emphasis on 25-26°C outcomes, as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 28°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from typical warming. New model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official Incheon measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,465結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and a 60-99% chance of rain or thunderstorms on August 31, driven by northeasterly winds and an approaching moisture surge that limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 24-26°C at Incheon. This aligns with trader emphasis on 25-26°C outcomes, as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 28°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from typical warming. New model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official Incheon measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,465結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and a 60-99% chance of rain or thunderstorms on August 31, driven by northeasterly winds and an approaching moisture surge that limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 24-26°C at Incheon. This aligns with trader emphasis on 25-26°C outcomes, as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 28°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from typical warming. New model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official Incheon measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions