Current forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime high near 29–30 °C at Incheon on 29 August, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting model spread on cloud cover and shower timing. Persistent low- to mid-level clouds and scattered rain are expected to limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds and high humidity suppress further warming; any earlier clearing or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to reach 30 °C, whereas prolonged showers would favor 29 °C or lower. Official observations at Incheon International Airport will set the resolution value, and the next model runs or KMA updates could shift the balance before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
$14,349 交易量
$14,349 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
$14,349 交易量
$14,349 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime high near 29–30 °C at Incheon on 29 August, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting model spread on cloud cover and shower timing. Persistent low- to mid-level clouds and scattered rain are expected to limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds and high humidity suppress further warming; any earlier clearing or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to reach 30 °C, whereas prolonged showers would favor 29 °C or lower. Official observations at Incheon International Airport will set the resolution value, and the next model runs or KMA updates could shift the balance before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions