**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, with modest uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.** Recent updates from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and international models show northerly winds and the outer influence of typhoon-related troughs bringing scattered rain or thunderstorms, which cap afternoon heating. Hourly guidance peaks near 32–33°C around midday to early afternoon before clouds and precipitation increase, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%), followed by 34°C (21.5%). Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate features high dew points (near 24–26°C) and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heat while supporting scattered convection. Historical late-August maxima average around 32–33°C, so the current setup aligns closely with climatology but with downside risk if rain arrives earlier or is heavier than expected. New model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact peak, directly influencing resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日武漢氣溫最高？
8月30日武漢氣溫最高？
33°C 39%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
28%
33°C
39%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 39%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
$148 交易量
<1%
26°C
$309 交易量
<1%
27°C
$309 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,090 交易量
<1%
29°C
$607 交易量
1%
30°C
$354 交易量
3%
31°C
$1,008 交易量
10%
32°C
$1,153 交易量
28%
33°C
$701 交易量
39%
34°C
$2,302 交易量
21%
35°C or higher
$545 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, with modest uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.**
Recent updates from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and international models show northerly winds and the outer influence of typhoon-related troughs bringing scattered rain or thunderstorms, which cap afternoon heating. Hourly guidance peaks near 32–33°C around midday to early afternoon before clouds and precipitation increase, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%), followed by 34°C (21.5%).
Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate features high dew points (near 24–26°C) and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heat while supporting scattered convection. Historical late-August maxima average around 32–33°C, so the current setup aligns closely with climatology but with downside risk if rain arrives earlier or is heavier than expected. New model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact peak, directly influencing resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,526結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, with modest uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.**
Recent updates from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and international models show northerly winds and the outer influence of typhoon-related troughs bringing scattered rain or thunderstorms, which cap afternoon heating. Hourly guidance peaks near 32–33°C around midday to early afternoon before clouds and precipitation increase, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%), followed by 34°C (21.5%).
Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate features high dew points (near 24–26°C) and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heat while supporting scattered convection. Historical late-August maxima average around 32–33°C, so the current setup aligns closely with climatology but with downside risk if rain arrives earlier or is heavier than expected. New model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact peak, directly influencing resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,526結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, with modest uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.** Recent updates from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and international models show northerly winds and the outer influence of typhoon-related troughs bringing scattered rain or thunderstorms, which cap afternoon heating. Hourly guidance peaks near 32–33°C around midday to early afternoon before clouds and precipitation increase, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%), followed by 34°C (21.5%). Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate features high dew points (near 24–26°C) and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heat while supporting scattered convection. Historical late-August maxima average around 32–33°C, so the current setup aligns closely with climatology but with downside risk if rain arrives earlier or is heavier than expected. New model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact peak, directly influencing resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions