Current forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models drives the market-implied odds, centering on a daytime high of 19–21°C for Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support moderate warming without strong advection or solar enhancement, aligning with recent model runs that place the peak near 20–21°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble range rather than broader historical August averages around 23°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers amid typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月29日莫斯科的最高溫度？
20°C 43%
21°C 35%
19°C 16%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
16%
20°C
43%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 43%
21°C 35%
19°C 16%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$301 交易量
<1%
15°C
$853 交易量
<1%
16°C
$740 交易量
1%
17°C
$424 交易量
<1%
18°C
$536 交易量
2%
19°C
$691 交易量
16%
20°C
$2,040 交易量
43%
21°C
$1,024 交易量
35%
22°C
$478 交易量
8%
23°C
$172 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$339 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models drives the market-implied odds, centering on a daytime high of 19–21°C for Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support moderate warming without strong advection or solar enhancement, aligning with recent model runs that place the peak near 20–21°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble range rather than broader historical August averages around 23°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers amid typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$7,598結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models drives the market-implied odds, centering on a daytime high of 19–21°C for Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support moderate warming without strong advection or solar enhancement, aligning with recent model runs that place the peak near 20–21°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble range rather than broader historical August averages around 23°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers amid typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,598結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models drives the market-implied odds, centering on a daytime high of 19–21°C for Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support moderate warming without strong advection or solar enhancement, aligning with recent model runs that place the peak near 20–21°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble range rather than broader historical August averages around 23°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers amid typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions