Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 28, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system sustains warm, humid air across the region, while an approaching disturbance and increasing cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential through scattered showers and reduced insolation. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima averaging near 30°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. Model consensus on peak values remains tight because steering patterns and precipitation timing carry residual uncertainty, keeping probabilities clustered between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 28, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system sustains warm, humid air across the region, while an approaching disturbance and increasing cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential through scattered showers and reduced insolation. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima averaging near 30°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. Model consensus on peak values remains tight because steering patterns and precipitation timing carry residual uncertainty, keeping probabilities clustered between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions