The southwest monsoon (habagat) currently driving scattered to widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila is the dominant factor capping daytime heating and aligning trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most likely maximum on August 28. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and heavy rainfall expected that day reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping highs below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model output show a tight range of 26–30°C, with limited upside potential absent a sudden monsoon break. Updated forecast runs and any revisions to rainfall totals ahead of the close will be the next key inputs for positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 38%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
38%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C或更高
2%
29°C 38%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
38%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The southwest monsoon (habagat) currently driving scattered to widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila is the dominant factor capping daytime heating and aligning trader consensus around 29–30°C as the most likely maximum on August 28. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and heavy rainfall expected that day reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping highs below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model output show a tight range of 26–30°C, with limited upside potential absent a sudden monsoon break. Updated forecast runs and any revisions to rainfall totals ahead of the close will be the next key inputs for positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions