Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 26, following overnight showers and a cooler, rainier day on the 25th. Moderate southerly to easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited instability should cap heating while preventing significant convective cooling, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where highs average 22–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 27°C, followed by 26°C and 28°C, aligns with the narrow spread across current guidance, though afternoon model updates or subtle shifts in cloud timing could adjust the precise peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月26日慕尼黑最高溫度？
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C or below
$23 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$50 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$162 交易量
15%
26°C
$55 交易量
25%
27°C
$150 交易量
40%
28°C
$18 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 26, following overnight showers and a cooler, rainier day on the 25th. Moderate southerly to easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited instability should cap heating while preventing significant convective cooling, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where highs average 22–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 27°C, followed by 26°C and 28°C, aligns with the narrow spread across current guidance, though afternoon model updates or subtle shifts in cloud timing could adjust the precise peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$463結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 26, following overnight showers and a cooler, rainier day on the 25th. Moderate southerly to easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited instability should cap heating while preventing significant convective cooling, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where highs average 22–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 27°C, followed by 26°C and 28°C, aligns with the narrow spread across current guidance, though afternoon model updates or subtle shifts in cloud timing could adjust the precise peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$463結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 26, following overnight showers and a cooler, rainier day on the 25th. Moderate southerly to easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited instability should cap heating while preventing significant convective cooling, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where highs average 22–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 27°C, followed by 26°C and 28°C, aligns with the narrow spread across current guidance, though afternoon model updates or subtle shifts in cloud timing could adjust the precise peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions