Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Helsinki on August 26 under northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer conditions, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome. Supporting forecasts show highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal cooling trends that lower average August maxima from early-month values around 21°C. Minor model spread and potential for localized warming keep 22°C (29%) competitive while capping higher outcomes below 15% combined, reflecting standard forecast uncertainty ranges for 48-hour projections in the Baltic region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
21°C 41%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
41%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C或以上
6%
21°C 41%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
41%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C或以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Helsinki on August 26 under northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer conditions, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome. Supporting forecasts show highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal cooling trends that lower average August maxima from early-month values around 21°C. Minor model spread and potential for localized warming keep 22°C (29%) competitive while capping higher outcomes below 15% combined, reflecting standard forecast uncertainty ranges for 48-hour projections in the Baltic region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions