Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs in Busan on August 26 centering near 31–35°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation supporting peak solar heating. Late-August climatology for the region features high humidity, weak pressure gradients, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap afternoon maxima, while slight differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift create the narrow spread between 35°C and 36°C implied odds. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the peak temperature within this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日釜山的最高溫度?
36°C 34%
35°C 34%
34°C 17%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
17%
35°C
34%
36°C
34%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
7%
36°C 34%
35°C 34%
34°C 17%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
17%
35°C
34%
36°C
34%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs in Busan on August 26 centering near 31–35°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation supporting peak solar heating. Late-August climatology for the region features high humidity, weak pressure gradients, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap afternoon maxima, while slight differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift create the narrow spread between 35°C and 36°C implied odds. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the peak temperature within this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions