Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日成都最高溫度？
8月26日成都最高溫度？
35°C 25%
36°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
24%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 25%
36°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
27°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5 交易量
4%
30°C
$131 交易量
3%
31°C
$140 交易量
8%
32°C
$25 交易量
8%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$7 交易量
19%
35°C
$82 交易量
25%
36°C
$20 交易量
24%
37°C or higher
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$416結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$416結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions