Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models indicates persistent cloud cover, thundershowers, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 26, limiting solar heating and convective buildup compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with late-August climatology of subtropical monsoon influence, where average highs reach 32–33 °C but precipitation often caps peaks near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because model runs show modest uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, with only small probabilities assigned to drier, hotter scenarios above 33 °C or cooler outcomes below 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will refine these short-term variables before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日廣州最高溫度?
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 15%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C或以上
4%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 15%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models indicates persistent cloud cover, thundershowers, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 26, limiting solar heating and convective buildup compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with late-August climatology of subtropical monsoon influence, where average highs reach 32–33 °C but precipitation often caps peaks near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because model runs show modest uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, with only small probabilities assigned to drier, hotter scenarios above 33 °C or cooler outcomes below 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will refine these short-term variables before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions