Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月24日馬德裏氣溫最高？
28°C 50%
27°C 24%
29°C 21%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
50%
29°C
21%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 24%
29°C 21%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$47 交易量
1%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C
$36 交易量
2%
26°C
$20 交易量
7%
27°C
$285 交易量
24%
28°C
$101 交易量
50%
29°C
$140 交易量
21%
30°C
$15 交易量
7%
31°C
$10 交易量
2%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$679結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$679結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions