Official meteorological observations from Spain’s AEMET network recorded a minimum temperature of 20°C in Madrid on August 24, establishing the market resolution. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system limited nocturnal cooling while daytime heating remained moderate for late summer, producing a narrow diurnal range consistent with historical August climatology. With the measurement window closed and data verified, trader consensus reached 100% implied probability on this exact threshold. Only a post-verification station error or revised official report could alter the outcome, both considered highly improbable given standard quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月24日馬德裏最低氣溫？
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$5,963 交易量
$5,963 交易量
2026-08-24
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$5,963 交易量
$5,963 交易量
2026-08-24
18°C or below
$285 交易量
No
19°C
$147 交易量
No
20°C
$993 交易量
Yes
21°C
$372 交易量
No
22°C
$1,285 交易量
No
23°C
$543 交易量
No
24°C
$400 交易量
No
25°C
$1,050 交易量
否
26°C
$226 交易量
否
27°C
$250 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$413 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Spain’s AEMET network recorded a minimum temperature of 20°C in Madrid on August 24, establishing the market resolution. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system limited nocturnal cooling while daytime heating remained moderate for late summer, producing a narrow diurnal range consistent with historical August climatology. With the measurement window closed and data verified, trader consensus reached 100% implied probability on this exact threshold. Only a post-verification station error or revised official report could alter the outcome, both considered highly improbable given standard quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,963結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Spain’s AEMET network recorded a minimum temperature of 20°C in Madrid on August 24, establishing the market resolution. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system limited nocturnal cooling while daytime heating remained moderate for late summer, producing a narrow diurnal range consistent with historical August climatology. With the measurement window closed and data verified, trader consensus reached 100% implied probability on this exact threshold. Only a post-verification station error or revised official report could alter the outcome, both considered highly improbable given standard quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,963結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Spain’s AEMET network recorded a minimum temperature of 20°C in Madrid on August 24, establishing the market resolution. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system limited nocturnal cooling while daytime heating remained moderate for late summer, producing a narrow diurnal range consistent with historical August climatology. With the measurement window closed and data verified, trader consensus reached 100% implied probability on this exact threshold. Only a post-verification station error or revised official report could alter the outcome, both considered highly improbable given standard quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions