Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of variable cloud cover and 40-70% precipitation probability for Chengdu on August 29, which limits daytime solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 27-29°C. High humidity levels around 60-75% combined with light winds promote reduced diurnal heating compared to clearer August baselines, while steering patterns favor persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon. These factors create tight market-implied odds among 27-30°C outcomes, as small shifts in convective timing or break in cloudiness could alter peak readings by 1-2°C before official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日成都最高溫度？
8月29日成都最高溫度？
28°C 26%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
最新
$19,199 交易量
最新
$19,199 交易量
2026-08-29
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
21%
30°C
17%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 26%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
最新
$19,199 交易量
最新
$19,199 交易量
2026-08-29
24°C or below
$451 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,203 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,810 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,157 交易量
20%
28°C
$901 交易量
26%
29°C
$1,189 交易量
21%
30°C
$1,731 交易量
17%
31°C
$1,268 交易量
12%
32°C
$720 交易量
5%
33°C
$1,166 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$2,601 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of variable cloud cover and 40-70% precipitation probability for Chengdu on August 29, which limits daytime solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 27-29°C. High humidity levels around 60-75% combined with light winds promote reduced diurnal heating compared to clearer August baselines, while steering patterns favor persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon. These factors create tight market-implied odds among 27-30°C outcomes, as small shifts in convective timing or break in cloudiness could alter peak readings by 1-2°C before official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,199結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of variable cloud cover and 40-70% precipitation probability for Chengdu on August 29, which limits daytime solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 27-29°C. High humidity levels around 60-75% combined with light winds promote reduced diurnal heating compared to clearer August baselines, while steering patterns favor persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon. These factors create tight market-implied odds among 27-30°C outcomes, as small shifts in convective timing or break in cloudiness could alter peak readings by 1-2°C before official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,199結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of variable cloud cover and 40-70% precipitation probability for Chengdu on August 29, which limits daytime solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 27-29°C. High humidity levels around 60-75% combined with light winds promote reduced diurnal heating compared to clearer August baselines, while steering patterns favor persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon. These factors create tight market-implied odds among 27-30°C outcomes, as small shifts in convective timing or break in cloudiness could alter peak readings by 1-2°C before official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions