Recent forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 25–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clearing skies and light southwesterly flow following cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th. This places the daily maximum below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.6°C, reflecting Atlantic air influence that limits daytime heating despite late-summer solar angles. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from model-to-model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the reference station before midnight local time. Updated runs from European and U.S. centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月28日馬德裏氣溫最高？
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 20%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
41%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 20%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
$5 交易量
3%
23°C
$5 交易量
4%
24°C
$113 交易量
5%
25°C
$13 交易量
5%
26°C
$87 交易量
25%
27°C
$65 交易量
41%
28°C
$28 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$5 交易量
4%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 25–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clearing skies and light southwesterly flow following cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th. This places the daily maximum below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.6°C, reflecting Atlantic air influence that limits daytime heating despite late-summer solar angles. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from model-to-model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the reference station before midnight local time. Updated runs from European and U.S. centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$325結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 25–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clearing skies and light southwesterly flow following cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th. This places the daily maximum below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.6°C, reflecting Atlantic air influence that limits daytime heating despite late-summer solar angles. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from model-to-model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the reference station before midnight local time. Updated runs from European and U.S. centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$325結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 25–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clearing skies and light southwesterly flow following cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th. This places the daily maximum below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.6°C, reflecting Atlantic air influence that limits daytime heating despite late-summer solar angles. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from model-to-model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the reference station before midnight local time. Updated runs from European and U.S. centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions