Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as London Heathrow indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C on August 26, 2026, driven by warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C. Hourly data and numerical weather prediction consensus supported this peak without significant model divergence, aligning trader-implied odds at 100% for exactly 26°C as the resolution threshold. Recent upstream conditions, including mild overnight minima around 18–20°C and moderate easterly flow, reinforced the outcome. A late surge in convective activity or station-specific microclimate effects could still shift the official reading, though current evidence makes substantial deviation unlikely before close of play.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月26日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$112,089 交易量
$112,089 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$112,089 交易量
$112,089 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$7,933 交易量
No
23°C
$16,034 交易量
No
24°C
$15,918 交易量
No
25°C
$21,031 交易量
No
26°C
$21,024 交易量
Yes
27°C
$13,582 交易量
No
28°C
$9,373 交易量
No
29°C
$3,644 交易量
No
30°C
$2,054 交易量
No
31°C
$451 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$1,045 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as London Heathrow indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C on August 26, 2026, driven by warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C. Hourly data and numerical weather prediction consensus supported this peak without significant model divergence, aligning trader-implied odds at 100% for exactly 26°C as the resolution threshold. Recent upstream conditions, including mild overnight minima around 18–20°C and moderate easterly flow, reinforced the outcome. A late surge in convective activity or station-specific microclimate effects could still shift the official reading, though current evidence makes substantial deviation unlikely before close of play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$112,089結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as London Heathrow indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C on August 26, 2026, driven by warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C. Hourly data and numerical weather prediction consensus supported this peak without significant model divergence, aligning trader-implied odds at 100% for exactly 26°C as the resolution threshold. Recent upstream conditions, including mild overnight minima around 18–20°C and moderate easterly flow, reinforced the outcome. A late surge in convective activity or station-specific microclimate effects could still shift the official reading, though current evidence makes substantial deviation unlikely before close of play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$112,089結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as London Heathrow indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C on August 26, 2026, driven by warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C. Hourly data and numerical weather prediction consensus supported this peak without significant model divergence, aligning trader-implied odds at 100% for exactly 26°C as the resolution threshold. Recent upstream conditions, including mild overnight minima around 18–20°C and moderate easterly flow, reinforced the outcome. A late surge in convective activity or station-specific microclimate effects could still shift the official reading, though current evidence makes substantial deviation unlikely before close of play.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions