**Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms driven by easterly moisture flow, are positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as IMD and global models consistently show daytime highs in this narrow range, with rainfall probabilities of 70–90% moderating solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Recent observations confirm temperatures running 1–3°C below seasonal averages amid above-normal August rainfall, and the pattern is expected to continue through the weekend. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this meteorological setup, where any break in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 32°C while sustained rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月5日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
27%
30°C
44%
31°C
28%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C或以上
7%
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
27%
30°C
$43 交易量
44%
31°C
$0 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
18%
33°C
$19 交易量
9%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms driven by easterly moisture flow, are positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 5.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as IMD and global models consistently show daytime highs in this narrow range, with rainfall probabilities of 70–90% moderating solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Recent observations confirm temperatures running 1–3°C below seasonal averages amid above-normal August rainfall, and the pattern is expected to continue through the weekend. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this meteorological setup, where any break in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 32°C while sustained rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$62結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms driven by easterly moisture flow, are positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 5.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as IMD and global models consistently show daytime highs in this narrow range, with rainfall probabilities of 70–90% moderating solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Recent observations confirm temperatures running 1–3°C below seasonal averages amid above-normal August rainfall, and the pattern is expected to continue through the weekend. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this meteorological setup, where any break in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 32°C while sustained rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms driven by easterly moisture flow, are positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as IMD and global models consistently show daytime highs in this narrow range, with rainfall probabilities of 70–90% moderating solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Recent observations confirm temperatures running 1–3°C below seasonal averages amid above-normal August rainfall, and the pattern is expected to continue through the weekend. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this meteorological setup, where any break in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 32°C while sustained rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions