Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by northeast winds and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler, rainier weather on September 2 and align with typical early-September climatology, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap maxima below seasonal peaks. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C reflects uncertainty in how quickly skies may clear or whether localized heating could push the peak slightly higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below capture the risk of persistent rain suppressing temperatures. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日上海最高溫度？
9月3日上海最高溫度？
31°C 42%
30°C 40%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
最新
$12,737 交易量
最新
$12,737 交易量
2026-09-03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
40%
31°C
42%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 40%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
最新
$12,737 交易量
最新
$12,737 交易量
2026-09-03
25°C or below
$1,109 交易量
<1%
26°C
$675 交易量
<1%
27°C
$499 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,555 交易量
5%
29°C
$2,360 交易量
15%
30°C
$1,700 交易量
40%
31°C
$2,538 交易量
42%
32°C
$1,150 交易量
4%
33°C
$484 交易量
<1%
34°C
$414 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by northeast winds and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler, rainier weather on September 2 and align with typical early-September climatology, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap maxima below seasonal peaks. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C reflects uncertainty in how quickly skies may clear or whether localized heating could push the peak slightly higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below capture the risk of persistent rain suppressing temperatures. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,737結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by northeast winds and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler, rainier weather on September 2 and align with typical early-September climatology, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap maxima below seasonal peaks. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C reflects uncertainty in how quickly skies may clear or whether localized heating could push the peak slightly higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below capture the risk of persistent rain suppressing temperatures. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,737結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by northeast winds and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler, rainier weather on September 2 and align with typical early-September climatology, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap maxima below seasonal peaks. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C reflects uncertainty in how quickly skies may clear or whether localized heating could push the peak slightly higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below capture the risk of persistent rain suppressing temperatures. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions