**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日上海最高溫度？
9月2日上海最高溫度？
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 5.1%
最新
$51,030 交易量
最新
$51,030 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 5.1%
最新
$51,030 交易量
最新
$51,030 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$5,312 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,578 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,198 交易量
5%
28°C
$9,473 交易量
27%
29°C
$8,841 交易量
34%
30°C
$8,567 交易量
28%
31°C
$7,212 交易量
5%
32°C
$1,707 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,332 交易量
<1%
34°C
$378 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$51,030結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,030結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions