Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds have suppressed daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, 2026, keeping official temperatures from the Incheon International Airport station at or below 25°C. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and multiple forecast models show a daily maximum near 24–25°C amid high humidity and minimal solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms for early September under similar synoptic patterns. This strong observational consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day clearing that allows brief warming above the threshold or a post-event data revision, though current model runs and real-time station readings indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月1日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$58,546 交易量
$58,546 交易量
2026-09-01
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$58,546 交易量
$58,546 交易量
2026-09-01
21°C or below
$244 交易量
No
22°C
$264 交易量
No
23°C
$1,278 交易量
No
24°C
$12,639 交易量
No
25°C
$10,591 交易量
Yes
26°C
$12,615 交易量
No
27°C
$11,664 交易量
No
28°C
$4,822 交易量
No
29°C
$2,492 交易量
No
30°C
$1,503 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$435 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds have suppressed daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, 2026, keeping official temperatures from the Incheon International Airport station at or below 25°C. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and multiple forecast models show a daily maximum near 24–25°C amid high humidity and minimal solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms for early September under similar synoptic patterns. This strong observational consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day clearing that allows brief warming above the threshold or a post-event data revision, though current model runs and real-time station readings indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$58,546結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds have suppressed daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, 2026, keeping official temperatures from the Incheon International Airport station at or below 25°C. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and multiple forecast models show a daily maximum near 24–25°C amid high humidity and minimal solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms for early September under similar synoptic patterns. This strong observational consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day clearing that allows brief warming above the threshold or a post-event data revision, though current model runs and real-time station readings indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,546結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds have suppressed daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, 2026, keeping official temperatures from the Incheon International Airport station at or below 25°C. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and multiple forecast models show a daily maximum near 24–25°C amid high humidity and minimal solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms for early September under similar synoptic patterns. This strong observational consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day clearing that allows brief warming above the threshold or a post-event data revision, though current model runs and real-time station readings indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions