Recent forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data show a cold front crossing Moscow after warmer conditions on September 24, shifting the region into cooler air with mostly cloudy skies and light rain possible. This supports daytime highs centered near 12–14°C on September 25, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 13°C (40.5%). Southerly winds of 4–9 m/s and rising pressure from an approaching anticyclone ridge limit further warming, while historical September averages near 14°C provide context for the narrow distribution around 12–14°C. Minor model variations in exact peak timing introduce the modest probabilities for 12°C and 14°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月25日莫斯科的最高溫度？
13°C 39%
12°C 24%
14°C 23%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
24%
13°C
39%
14°C
23%
15°C
10%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或以上
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 24%
14°C 23%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
9°C或以下
$159 交易量
1%
10°C
$95 交易量
<1%
11°C
$906 交易量
6%
12°C
$1,216 交易量
24%
13°C
$1,562 交易量
39%
14°C
$1,399 交易量
23%
15°C
$809 交易量
10%
16°C
$257 交易量
2%
17°C
$355 交易量
2%
18°C
$171 交易量
1%
19°C或以上
$286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data show a cold front crossing Moscow after warmer conditions on September 24, shifting the region into cooler air with mostly cloudy skies and light rain possible. This supports daytime highs centered near 12–14°C on September 25, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 13°C (40.5%). Southerly winds of 4–9 m/s and rising pressure from an approaching anticyclone ridge limit further warming, while historical September averages near 14°C provide context for the narrow distribution around 12–14°C. Minor model variations in exact peak timing introduce the modest probabilities for 12°C and 14°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,153結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data show a cold front crossing Moscow after warmer conditions on September 24, shifting the region into cooler air with mostly cloudy skies and light rain possible. This supports daytime highs centered near 12–14°C on September 25, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 13°C (40.5%). Southerly winds of 4–9 m/s and rising pressure from an approaching anticyclone ridge limit further warming, while historical September averages near 14°C provide context for the narrow distribution around 12–14°C. Minor model variations in exact peak timing introduce the modest probabilities for 12°C and 14°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,153結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data show a cold front crossing Moscow after warmer conditions on September 24, shifting the region into cooler air with mostly cloudy skies and light rain possible. This supports daytime highs centered near 12–14°C on September 25, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 13°C (40.5%). Southerly winds of 4–9 m/s and rising pressure from an approaching anticyclone ridge limit further warming, while historical September averages near 14°C provide context for the narrow distribution around 12–14°C. Minor model variations in exact peak timing introduce the modest probabilities for 12°C and 14°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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