Forecast models from multiple sources indicate overcast skies and light southeast winds over Qingdao on September 24, with possible drizzle or scattered showers that will limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This consensus, drawn from recent runs showing high humidity and reduced insolation, underpins the tight market split between 26 °C and 27 °C. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover around 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 28 °C or below 25 °C. New model updates overnight and final official observations will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日青島氣溫最高?
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 13%
25°C 12%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
35%
27°C
38%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 13%
25°C 12%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
35%
27°C
38%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple sources indicate overcast skies and light southeast winds over Qingdao on September 24, with possible drizzle or scattered showers that will limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This consensus, drawn from recent runs showing high humidity and reduced insolation, underpins the tight market split between 26 °C and 27 °C. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover around 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 28 °C or below 25 °C. New model updates overnight and final official observations will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions