**Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light precipitation chances are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 23, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple forecast models shows a high near 24–25°C under mostly overcast skies, with 20–40% rain probability and dew points in the upper teens supporting limited insolation. This follows warmer, partly clear conditions on the 22nd (highs near 29–30°C), as a shift to higher pressure and marine air advection cools the boundary layer. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, or wind speed (typically 3–7 m/s from the northeast) can swing the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日東京氣溫最高？
9月23日東京氣溫最高？
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 12%
最新
$14,396 交易量
最新
$14,396 交易量
2026-09-23
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
29%
25°C
41%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 12%
最新
$14,396 交易量
最新
$14,396 交易量
2026-09-23
20°C或以下
$430 交易量
<1%
21°C
$504 交易量
<1%
22°C
$393 交易量
4%
23°C
$2,669 交易量
16%
24°C
$2,174 交易量
29%
25°C
$1,836 交易量
41%
26°C
$3,023 交易量
12%
27°C
$662 交易量
3%
28°C
$227 交易量
2%
29°C
$770 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$1,708 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light precipitation chances are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 23, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple forecast models shows a high near 24–25°C under mostly overcast skies, with 20–40% rain probability and dew points in the upper teens supporting limited insolation. This follows warmer, partly clear conditions on the 22nd (highs near 29–30°C), as a shift to higher pressure and marine air advection cools the boundary layer.
Traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, or wind speed (typically 3–7 m/s from the northeast) can swing the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,396結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light precipitation chances are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 23, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple forecast models shows a high near 24–25°C under mostly overcast skies, with 20–40% rain probability and dew points in the upper teens supporting limited insolation. This follows warmer, partly clear conditions on the 22nd (highs near 29–30°C), as a shift to higher pressure and marine air advection cools the boundary layer.
Traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, or wind speed (typically 3–7 m/s from the northeast) can swing the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,396結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light precipitation chances are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 23, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple forecast models shows a high near 24–25°C under mostly overcast skies, with 20–40% rain probability and dew points in the upper teens supporting limited insolation. This follows warmer, partly clear conditions on the 22nd (highs near 29–30°C), as a shift to higher pressure and marine air advection cools the boundary layer. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, or wind speed (typically 3–7 m/s from the northeast) can swing the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions