Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS indicate a September 22 high near 28–30 °C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the range favored by traders. This aligns with late-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 25 °C, yet current conditions support readings several degrees above normal without the strong warm advection needed for 33 °C or higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest uncertainty from cloud cover or minor precipitation timing that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and the final official observation will determine whether the market’s heaviest weighting on 30 °C holds or shifts toward 29 °C or 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日北京最高溫度？
9月22日北京最高溫度？
30°C 49%
31°C 28%
29°C 18%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
49%
31°C
28%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
30°C 49%
31°C 28%
29°C 18%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$106 交易量
6%
29°C
$170 交易量
18%
30°C
$390 交易量
49%
31°C
$321 交易量
28%
32°C
$158 交易量
5%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS indicate a September 22 high near 28–30 °C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the range favored by traders. This aligns with late-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 25 °C, yet current conditions support readings several degrees above normal without the strong warm advection needed for 33 °C or higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest uncertainty from cloud cover or minor precipitation timing that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and the final official observation will determine whether the market’s heaviest weighting on 30 °C holds or shifts toward 29 °C or 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,150結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS indicate a September 22 high near 28–30 °C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the range favored by traders. This aligns with late-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 25 °C, yet current conditions support readings several degrees above normal without the strong warm advection needed for 33 °C or higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest uncertainty from cloud cover or minor precipitation timing that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and the final official observation will determine whether the market’s heaviest weighting on 30 °C holds or shifts toward 29 °C or 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,150結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS indicate a September 22 high near 28–30 °C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the range favored by traders. This aligns with late-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 25 °C, yet current conditions support readings several degrees above normal without the strong warm advection needed for 33 °C or higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest uncertainty from cloud cover or minor precipitation timing that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and the final official observation will determine whether the market’s heaviest weighting on 30 °C holds or shifts toward 29 °C or 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions