Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project Beijing's overnight low on September 22 around 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with the past week's observed minima of 17–21 °C. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling tied to variable high-cloud amounts and urban heat-island effects, keeping most ensemble members above 15 °C while limiting upside beyond 21 °C. Historical September 22 lows average 14.4 °C, yet current warm advection has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders appear to price equal probability on the extreme tails (≤12 °C or ≥22 °C) amid lingering model divergence ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日北京最低溫度？
9月22日北京最低溫度？
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或以上 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
17%
14°C
18%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C或以上
100%
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或以上 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
13°C
$0 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$5 交易量
37%
20°C
$0 交易量
38%
21°C
$0 交易量
38%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project Beijing's overnight low on September 22 around 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with the past week's observed minima of 17–21 °C. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling tied to variable high-cloud amounts and urban heat-island effects, keeping most ensemble members above 15 °C while limiting upside beyond 21 °C. Historical September 22 lows average 14.4 °C, yet current warm advection has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders appear to price equal probability on the extreme tails (≤12 °C or ≥22 °C) amid lingering model divergence ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project Beijing's overnight low on September 22 around 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with the past week's observed minima of 17–21 °C. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling tied to variable high-cloud amounts and urban heat-island effects, keeping most ensemble members above 15 °C while limiting upside beyond 21 °C. Historical September 22 lows average 14.4 °C, yet current warm advection has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders appear to price equal probability on the extreme tails (≤12 °C or ≥22 °C) amid lingering model divergence ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project Beijing's overnight low on September 22 around 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with the past week's observed minima of 17–21 °C. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling tied to variable high-cloud amounts and urban heat-island effects, keeping most ensemble members above 15 °C while limiting upside beyond 21 °C. Historical September 22 lows average 14.4 °C, yet current warm advection has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders appear to price equal probability on the extreme tails (≤12 °C or ≥22 °C) amid lingering model divergence ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions