Persistent northeast winds and extensive cloud cover from a lingering weather pattern are driving the National Weather Service forecast for a Chicago high near 64°F on September 21, well below the late-September climatological average of about 74°F. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on mid-60s readings with only a slight morning shower chance, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 64-65°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. The adjacent 62-63°F and 66-67°F outcomes each hold 24.5%, reflecting minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model divergence or rapid pattern shift appears imminent before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月21日芝加哥的最高溫度？
64-65°F 47%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 22%
68-69°F 5.5%
最新
$21,026 交易量
最新
$21,026 交易量
2026-09-21
53°F或以下
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F或以上
<1%
64-65°F 47%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 22%
68-69°F 5.5%
最新
$21,026 交易量
最新
$21,026 交易量
2026-09-21
53°F或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$111 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$111 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,260 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$2,039 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$4,245 交易量
22%
64-65°F
$4,793 交易量
47%
66-67°F
$4,395 交易量
29%
68-69°F
$2,889 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$442 交易量
<1%
72°F或以上
$629 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeast winds and extensive cloud cover from a lingering weather pattern are driving the National Weather Service forecast for a Chicago high near 64°F on September 21, well below the late-September climatological average of about 74°F. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on mid-60s readings with only a slight morning shower chance, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 64-65°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. The adjacent 62-63°F and 66-67°F outcomes each hold 24.5%, reflecting minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model divergence or rapid pattern shift appears imminent before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$21,026結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeast winds and extensive cloud cover from a lingering weather pattern are driving the National Weather Service forecast for a Chicago high near 64°F on September 21, well below the late-September climatological average of about 74°F. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on mid-60s readings with only a slight morning shower chance, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 64-65°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. The adjacent 62-63°F and 66-67°F outcomes each hold 24.5%, reflecting minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model divergence or rapid pattern shift appears imminent before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,026結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETPersistent northeast winds and extensive cloud cover from a lingering weather pattern are driving the National Weather Service forecast for a Chicago high near 64°F on September 21, well below the late-September climatological average of about 74°F. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on mid-60s readings with only a slight morning shower chance, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 64-65°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. The adjacent 62-63°F and 66-67°F outcomes each hold 24.5%, reflecting minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model divergence or rapid pattern shift appears imminent before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions